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Building Blocks of Futures
ITCILO Team
Created on June 1, 2022
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Transcript
Use the definitions to classify the following statements as a driver of change, trend, weak signal or wild card.
See what you learned
Wild Card Unexpected or high impact events that have lower probability
Driver of Change A significant dynamic of change from which different trends can emerge
Trend A measure that has been steadily changing
Scanning for ChangeHorizon scanning systematically explores a wide range of sources to map the underlying issues, drivers, trends, weak signals, and even wild cards.
Weak Signal A new novel, or early indication of future change
Let's recap
Wild Card
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 1/8
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
The rate of improvement in agriculture yields has slowed to about 1% per year since 1990, despite improved efficiency.
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
Every year 10,000 species become extinct amounting to 1 million animal and plant species within decades.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 2/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
Urbanization reshapes the global demographic.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 3/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
A rising leader suffers an unexpected death due to natural causes at young age.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 4/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
Handheld devices are optimised exclusively for communication and extended battery life, using black-and-white electronic paper screens, cutting down all unnecessary capabilities.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 5/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
An asteroid strikes down in the Pacific Ocean causing a major Tsunami.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 6/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
An estimated 300,000 thousand new pieces of malware are created daily, with email as the preferred medium for 91% of all cyber attacks.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 7/8
Wild Card
Driver of Change
Trend
Weak Signal
Climate change has multiple, unavoidable consequences.
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Question 8/8
8 correct
8/8
7 correct
7/8
6 correct
6/8
Congratulations!
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Results
5 correct
5/8
0 correct
0/8
4 correct
4/8
3 correct
3/8
2 correct
2/8
1 correct
1/8
try again!
Wrong!