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Building Blocks of Futures
ITCILO Team
Created on June 1, 2022
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Transcript
See what you learned
Use the definitions to classify the following statements as a driver of change, trend, weak signal or wild card.
Let's recap
Trend A measure that has been steadily changing
Weak Signal A new novel, or early indication of future change
Wild Card Unexpected or high impact events that have lower probability
Driver of Change A significant dynamic of change from which different trends can emerge
Scanning for ChangeHorizon scanning systematically explores a wide range of sources to map the underlying issues, drivers, trends, weak signals, and even wild cards.
Question 1/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
The rate of improvement in agriculture yields has slowed to about 1% per year since 1990, despite improved efficiency.
Trend
Weak Signal
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 2/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Every year 10,000 species become extinct amounting to 1 million animal and plant species within decades.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 3/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Urbanization reshapes the global demographic.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 4/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
A rising leader suffers an unexpected death due to natural causes at young age.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 5/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Handheld devices are optimised exclusively for communication and extended battery life, using black-and-white electronic paper screens, cutting down all unnecessary capabilities.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 6/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
An asteroid strikes down in the Pacific Ocean causing a major Tsunami.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 7/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
An estimated 300,000 thousand new pieces of malware are created daily, with email as the preferred medium for 91% of all cyber attacks.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Question 8/8
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Climate change has multiple, unavoidable consequences.
Weak Signal
Trend
Driver of Change
Wild Card
Results
Building Blocks of Futures Quiz
Congratulations!
0/8
1/8
3/8
2/8
6/8
4/8
5/8
7/8
8/8
6 correct
0 correct
1 correct
2 correct
3 correct
4 correct
5 correct
7 correct
8 correct
Wrong!
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