Building Blocks of Futures

See what you learned

Use the definitions to classify the following statements as a driver of change, trend, weak signal or wild card.

Let's recap

Trend A measure that has been steadily changing

Weak Signal A new novel, or early indication of future change

Wild Card Unexpected or high impact events that have lower probability

Driver of Change A significant dynamic of change from which different trends can emerge

Scanning for ChangeHorizon scanning systematically explores a wide range of sources to map the underlying issues, drivers, trends, weak signals, and even wild cards.

Question 1/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

The rate of improvement in agriculture yields has slowed to about 1% per year since 1990, despite improved efficiency.

Trend

Weak Signal

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 2/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Every year 10,000 species become extinct amounting to 1 million animal and plant species within decades.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 3/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Urbanization reshapes the global demographic.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 4/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

A rising leader suffers an unexpected death due to natural causes at young age.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 5/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Handheld devices are optimised exclusively for communication and extended battery life, using black-and-white electronic paper screens, cutting down all unnecessary capabilities.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 6/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

An asteroid strikes down in the Pacific Ocean causing a major Tsunami.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 7/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

An estimated 300,000 thousand new pieces of malware are created daily, with email as the preferred medium for 91% of all cyber attacks.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Question 8/8

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Climate change has multiple, unavoidable consequences.

Weak Signal

Trend

Driver of Change

Wild Card

Results

Building Blocks of Futures Quiz

Congratulations!

0/8

1/8

3/8

2/8

6/8

4/8

5/8

7/8

8/8

6 correct

0 correct

1 correct

2 correct

3 correct

4 correct

5 correct

7 correct

8 correct

Wrong!

try again!