Want to create interactive content? It’s easy in Genially!

Get started free

EIT Commodity Bytes #2 REE

Adnan

Created on July 1, 2026

Start designing with a free template

Discover more than 1500 professional designs like these:

Company report

Press Clipping

Creative Report

Growth Plan

Mailing Campaign Report

Economic report

Social Media Plan

Transcript

Commodity Bytes #1 Copper

START

EU Copper Sector

Powering Europe's green and digital future

Overview

Potential EU demand by 2040

The rare-earth elements (REEs) are a group of 17 elements that exhibit special electronic, magnetic, catalytic and optical properties categorised into Light REEs( LREEs) and Heavy REEs (HREEs)

Current external dependancy

Value Chain

5.3mt
55%

(CEPS, 22)

*refined copper needs

EU Supply at a glance

Demand Scenarios

Copper is a strategic material for Europe’s energy transition, electrification, digitalisation and industrial resilience. Demand is expected to grow significantly by 2040 as the EU expands renewable energy systems, power grids, electric mobility, heat pumps, defence capabilities and digital infrastructure.

Copper is a strategic material for Europe’s energy transition, electrification, digitalisation and industrial resilience. Demand is expected to grow significantly by 2040 as the EU expands renewable energy systems, power grids, electric mobility, heat pumps, defence capabilities and digital infrastructure.

Copper Trading

Strategic Takeaways

Strategic Takeaways

Source: IWCC, ICSG

Text button

Text button

Text button

Commodity Bytes #1

Copper Value Chain

Explore the Copper Value Chain from extraction to recycling. Click each stage to learn more about EU presence, partners, and key companies.

Overview

Value Chain

EU Supply at a glance

Demand Scenarios

Copper Trading

Strategic Takeaways

Strategic Takeaways

Smelting & Refining

End Use

Recycling

Fabrication

Mining

Recycling

Extraction of copper ore from the earth

Processing of copper into refined concentrate (cathodes)

Manufacturing of semi-finished copper products

Copper used in wide range of applications and industries

Collection and reprocessing of copper scrap into new products

Collection and reprocessing of copper scrap into new products

Click to see the Copper Value Chain

Click to see the Copper Value Chain

Click to see the Copper Value Chain

Commodity Bytes #1

EU Supply at a glance

Europe relies on a combination of domestic and external sources. Current EU Copper Supply Pattern (2024)

Overview

Value Chain

EU Supply at a glance

Domestic copper mining EU copper mine production: 763 kt. Production concentrated in a limited number of Member States.

Net imports of copper concentrates Net imports: 752 kt copper equivalent. Imports mainly originate from: Brazil, Peru, Chile, Indonesia, Turkey.

Net imports of refined copper cathodes Net imports: 502 kt. Main suppliers: Chile, Democratic Republic of Congo, Peru, Serbia.

Copper scrap flows Post-consumer scrap collected in the EU: ~1.6 Mt. Additional pre-consumer scrap available: ~370 kt. Scrap imports into the EU: 407 kt. Scrap exports from the EU: 604 kt.

Demand Scenarios

Copper Trading

Strategic Takeaways

Strategic Takeaways

4 Supply levers

Increasing EU mining

Increasing EU mining

No mining. ~1,000 tonnes of magnet production a year. And the largest single buyer of Chinese magnets on the planet. That's Europe's rare earth supply position today — with demand set to triple by 2030

Commodity Bytes #1

Copper Demand to 2040

Rare earth magnet demand is set to grow steeply as electrification, offshore wind, robotics, AI infrastructure and defence capacity expand — both in China and outside it

Overview

Value Chain

EU demand for NdFeB permanent magnets

Recycling's potential share of EU NdFeB demand

EU Supply at a glance

To 2030

8–19%

Demand Scenarios

Copper Trading

To 2030

Large volumes of EV and wind-turbine magnets finally reach end-of-life; by 2050 EVs alone could supply ~57% of all recyclable magnet feedstock

Strategic Takeaways

Strategic Takeaways

EU magnet production target:

Source: IWCC, ICSG

EU magnet production target: ERMA's roadmap calls for scaling EU output from ~500 tonnes today to 7,000 tonnes by 2030 — enough to cover roughly 20% of projected EU magnet demand across all applications. It's a deliberately partial target: not full independence from China, but enough domestic capacity to build resilience and negotiating leverage.

Text button

Commodity Bytes #1

Copper Trading

Metal traders also play an important role in the flow of cathodes, bringing liquidity to the market and engaging in price arbitrage between the three copper exchanges (LME, COMEX and SHFE).

Why rare earths don't trade like other commodities

Overview

Metal traders also play an important role in the flow of cathodes, bringing liquidity to the market and engaging in price arbitrage between the three copper exchanges (LME, COMEX and SHFE).

Copper and oil trade on open exchanges with a transparent, public price. Rare earths don't

Value Chain

  • No open exchange. There's no rare earth equivalent of the London Metal Exchange — no deep, globally trusted venue where price is set by competing buyers and sellers.
  • Prices are administratively set, not market-discovered. With ~90%+ of refining and magnet production inside one country, Chinese domestic pricing — shaped by state ownership and subsidies — effectively is the global price.
  • Export controls override price entirely. On a normal market, paying more gets you supply. With rare earths, a licensing requirement can block a transaction regardless of price — the binding constraint isn't cost, it's government permission.
  • EU Supply at a glance

    Demand Scenarios

    Copper Trading

    Strategic Takeaways

    Strategic Takeaways

    Major Copper Traders

    The EU's response

    EU Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA): 25% recycling target for critical minerals; rare earth content labelling + minimum recycled-content obligations phased 2028-2032

    Planned (Q2 2026) proposal under RESourceEU to restrict exports of EU permanent-magnet scrap and waste — keeping EU secondary feedstock inside the EU

    Commodity Bytes #1

    Copper Trading

    Overview

    Metal traders handle about 50% of the seaborne flow of copper concentrates (estimated at 35 million tonnes) and have developed an expertise in price arbitrage, financial and quality risk management, supply logistics.

    Metal traders also play an important role in the flow of cathodes, bringing liquidity to the market and engaging in price arbitrage between the three copper exchanges (LME, COMEX and SHFE).

    Value Chain

    Globally, magnet manufacturing has the widest capacity gap of any stage (the IEA's ×6 figure below) — largely because most non-China regions have close to zero magnet capacity at all. The EU is a partial exception: it already has a small but real magnet-making base (Vacuumschmelze/Neorem, Magneti Ljubljana, Schramberg — see Scene 2). Europe's more specific bottleneck sits one stage earlier, at metal refining/metallisation — where the EU currently has no operating capacity at all, and only one newly-announced project (USA Rare Earths/Less Common Metals, Lacq) in the pipeline. That's exactly why Europe's own projects (La Rochelle, Silmet, Lacq, Narva) matter so much

    EU Supply at a glance

    Meeting non-China magnet REE demand by 2035 requires ~USD 60 billion of investment, public + private, over the next decade

    Demand Scenarios

    Copper Trading

    Copper Trading

    Strategic Takeaways

    Refining ≈ half of total investment need; magnet manufacturing ≈ one-third

    Text button

    Text button

    Capital intensity: ~USD 100,000/tonne for mining, ~USD 200,000/tonne for refining — among the highest of any energy mineral; hard-rock mining projects cost roughly 2× the capital and 3× the operating cost of ionic-clay projects

    Text button

    Text button

    France/Europe hold bauxite residue ("red mud") stocks containing up to ~270,000 tonnes of REE — described by CNRS as potentially "significantly meeting European needs, at least in the short term

    [IEA'26] Chapter 3, table titled "Estimated production for selected rare earth projects outside China"

    Commodity Bytes #1

    Strategic Takeaways

    • Limited domestic mining
    • Reliance on imported concentrates and cathodes
    • Exposure to external suppliers
    • Scrap exports reduce recycling potential
    • Advanced recycling ecosystem
    • Established smelting and refining base
    • Strong manufacturing base
    • Expertise in processing and fabrication
    • Limited domestic mining
    • Reliance on imported concentrates and cathodes
    • Exposure to external suppliers
    • Scrap exports reduce recycling potential
    • Limited domestic mining
    • Reliance on imported concentrates and cathodes
    • Exposure to external suppliers
    • Scrap exports reduce recycling potential

    Overview

    Value Chain

    EU Supply at a glance

    Demand Scenarios

    Copper Trading

    Strategic Takeaways

    Where the EU is strong
    Where the EU is strong
    Where the EU is strong
    Where the EU is strong

    Strategic Takeaways

    Recommended Actions

    Expand EU mining responsibly Capture more urban mine value Invest in smelting/refining Secure international partnerships

    Reduce strategic supply vulnerabilitiesExpand recycling capacity and stop scrap leakageTargeted partnerships via the CRM Act and Global Gateway

    Commodity Bytes #1

    Mining

    Copper ore is extracted from open-pit and underground mines. Before mining begins, companies must identify deposits, assess feasibility, secure permits, and develop infrastructure. Mine development can take more than a decade. The EU combines domestic copper mining with imports of copper concentrates and refined copper cathodes to meet industrial demand. Access to concentrates is becoming a strategic bottleneck.

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Limited

    Boliden, KGHM Polska Miedź

    Limited domestic mining capacity however new mining opportunities have been identified.

    Strategic Insights

    Key Partner Countries

    • EU mining can increase its contribution to European copper supply but remains structurally limited in scale.
    • Ore grade depletion and long permitting timelines remain key constraints.
    • New mining projects can partially reduce import dependency.
    • Strategic international partnerships will remain necessary to secure future copper supply.

    EU: Mining activity is focused on Poland, Sweden, Finland, Portugal, Spain Non-EU: Concentrates - Brazil, Peru, Chile, Indonesia

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Smelting & Refining

    Smelting and refining transform copper concentrates and recycled scrap into refined copper cathodes used by European industry. The EU combines primary metallurgy using mined concentrates with secondary metallurgy using recycled copper scrap, making recycling an important component of Europe’s copper supply. .

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Neo Performance Materials

    Strong

    The EU possesses significant smelting and refining capacity distributed across several Member States, including Germany, Poland, Sweden & Spain.

    Key Insights

    Key Partner Countries

    • Smelting and refining are strategic industrial capabilities for the EU copper ecosystem.
    • Secondary metallurgy already plays a major role in European copper production.
    • Increasing recycling volumes could strengthen Europe’s supply resilience.

    Refined Cathode supply: Chile, Democratic Republic of Congo, Peru, Serbia

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Mining

    Copper ore is extracted from open-pit and underground mines. Before mining begins, companies must identify deposits, assess feasibility, secure permits, and develop infrastructure. Mine development can take more than a decade. The EU combines domestic copper mining with imports of copper concentrates and refined copper cathodes to meet industrial demand. Access to concentrates is becoming a strategic bottleneck.

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Boliden, KGHM Polska Miedź

    Limited

    Limited domestic mining capacity however new mining opportunities have been identified.

    Strategic Insights

    Key Partner Countries

    • EU mining can increase its contribution to European copper supply but remains structurally limited in scale.
    • Ore grade depletion and long permitting timelines remain key constraints.
    • New mining projects can partially reduce import dependency.
    • Strategic international partnerships will remain necessary to secure future copper supply.

    EU: Mining activity is focused on Poland, Sweden, Finland, Portugal, Spain Non-EU: Concentrates - Brazil, Peru, Chile, Indonesia

    Recycling

    Recycling is a major component of the European copper value chain and plays a central role in reducing external supply dependency. Copper can be recycled repeatedly without loss of performance, allowing secondary copper production to complement primary mining supply. The EU recycling system combines: direct melt of high-grade scrap, and secondary metallurgy for lower-grade scrap requiring refining.

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Europe possesses advanced collection, sorting, recycling, smelting & refining capabilities for copper scrap. Approximately 1.6 Mt of post-consumer scrap is collected annually in the EU, plus around 370 kt of pre-consumer scrap.

    Aurubis, Metallo Group (recently purchased by Arubis), Boliden, KGHM

    High potential, currently underdeveloped

    Key Insights

    • Recycling represents one of the strongest levers available to improve European copper supply resilience.
    • The EU remains a net exporter of copper scrap despite strong domestic recycling capabilities.
    • Increasing scrap retention within Europe could significantly strengthen secondary copper production.
    • Direct melt and secondary refining are complementary recycling routes within the EU copper ecosystem.

    Key Partner Countries

    Scrap imports into the EU: Main import origins include: United Kingdom, United States, Switzerland Norway Scrap export destinations: Main destinations for EU scrap exports include: China, India, United Kingdom

    End Use

    Copper is used across modern infrastructure and technology systems because of its electrical conductivity, durability, thermal performance, and recyclability. Major applications include: electric vehicles, wind turbines, solar systems, power grids, data centres, defence technologies, and buildings. There is growing copper demand across several “focus applications” linked to decarbonisation, digitalisation and increased defence spending.

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Nexans, Prysmian, Siemens EnergySchneider Electric, Legrand

    Strong

    Strong industrial demand base. power cables, transformers, electric vehicles, heat pumps and renewable energy systems among the most important drivers of future copper demand growth.

    Key Insights

    Key Partner Countries

    • Maintaining industrial capacity in strategic downstream sectors will influence future European copper demand.
    • Copper embedded in infrastructure, buildings and equipment represents a growing long-term “urban mine” for future recycling.

    Europe remains connected to global manufacturing and supply chains for: renewable energy equipment, batteries, electrical equipment, and transport technologies

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Fabrication

    Refined copper cathodes are transformed into semi-finished products such as wire rod, tubes, bars, sheets and foil, which are then used across strategic industrial sectors. Copper plays a central role in electrification, renewable energy systems, power infrastructure, transport systems and industrial equipment.

    Key EU Companies

    European Presence

    Strong

    Nexans, Prysmian, Wieland

    Strong industrial manufacturing base using copper in: Power infrastructure renewable energy, buildings & construction, industrial equipment, transport systems, electrical applications. Europe also possesses advanced collection, sorting and recycling capabilities for copper scrap.

    Key Insights

    Key Partner Countries

    • Electrification and energy transition are expected to drive future copper demand growth.
    • Recycling is one of Europe’s strongest levers for improving copper supply resilience.
    • The EU remains a net exporter of copper scrap despite significant domestic recycling capabilities

    Key destinations for exported copper scrap include: China, India, United Kingdom

    This paragraph is ready to be filled with incredible creativity, experiences, and stories.

    Trading Challenges

    Recent developments in worldwide smelting capacity mean that maintaining the EU current ‘share of concentrates purchase’ on the international market will be a serious challenge. Investments in smelting capacities in China, India and Indonesia over the past few years have significantly outpaced the development in the production of concentrates, creating a tension on this market. The potential deficit in the supply of copper ores, mean China and India scramble for any additional quantities of concentrates. Significant efforts must be developed to allow the EU smelters to continue operating and to get access to the additional quantities of concentrates they will need to meet the growing copper demand in Europe

    Subtitle

    Trading Challenges

    permanent magnets account for ~95% of total rare earth consumption by value

    Increased EU mining activity

    Increased EU mining activity

    Increased EU mining activity

    Ore — the raw rock dug out of the ground. It contains rare earth minerals mixed in with a lot of unwanted rock. Carbonate — after the ore is crushed and treated with chemicals, the rare earths come out as a solid called a mixed carbonate. It's more refined than ore, but the different rare earth elements are still all jumbled together. Oxide — heating the carbonate drives off water and CO2, turning it into rare earth oxide. This is the most common form rare earths are traded in, and it's what comes out of the Separation stage in our value chain — now split into individual elements, like neodymium oxide. Metal — oxide still isn't magnet-ready. One more step (metallisation) converts it into pure rare earth metal, which can finally be alloyed and made into a magnet.

    Subtitle
    Subtitle
    Subtitle
    Subtitle