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Advantages and disadvantages of renewable energies: from one dependency to another?

Alice Dhellin

Created on March 25, 2026

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Advantages and disadvantages of renewable energies: from one dependency to another?

Rhea Fares, Alice Dhellin, Lucrezia Iaia, Thalisson Rojo, Elisa Darquenne

Contexte - A live sitcom

You are in front of : the cabinet of the Ministry of Energy of a fictional European country called Listenbourg

The members of cabinet will help the Minister decide whether the country should commit to transitioning by debating on the pros and cons of renewables

So you know the minister is not very smart...

quick definition

What is and is not renewable energy ?

Electricity sourced from natural replenishing resources - sunlight, wind, hydropower

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Energy from natural sources with the lowest environmental impact and zero pollutants - often renewable but it refers to pollution and environmental health

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Focuses on meeting present needs without compromising the future

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Sources of energy that are not necessarily renewable thus green and sustainable but doesn't use fossil fuels

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Green energy

Sustainable energy

Renewable energy

Alternative energy

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synopsis Timeline

The promise of renewable energies
A more nuanced reality
But actually who decides ?

Renewable energies you might Know?

Hydroelectric energy comes from water. Moving water has mechanical energy, when it passes through turbines, it makes them rotate, and those turbines drive a generator that converts kinetic energy into electricity.

Wind energy converts the kinetic energy of air currents into electricity through turbines. It's one of the fastest-growing renewable sources globally - Wind and solar together generated 15% of global electricity in 2024.

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Sun hits panel which transforms sunlight into electricity

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Bioenergy is produced from biomass - organic materials like agricultural residues, wood and waste. It's the most versatile renewable : it can be converted into electricity, heat and transport fuels. It's actually the largest source of renewable energy in Europe.

Geothermal energy comes from heat stored within rocks and fluids deep within the earth's crust. It can be used for electricity generation and direct heating. Unlike wind and solar, it doesn't depend on weather - It's available 24 hours a day, 365 days a year.

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ACT 1: The Promise

positive sides of renewables energy

Stability

Independence

Growth

Economic growth

Cost Efficiency

  • Can you physically access the energy?
  • Fossil fuels: maritime routes, pipelines, ...
  • Renewables: local production
  • Does the energy source exist in sufficiant quantity?
  • Fossil fuels: geology, extraction costs
  • Renewables: replenish!

Accessibility

Availability

IEA 4 pillars

Acceptability

Affordability

  • Is the energy economically viable?
  • Long run costs are cheaper
  • Price stability
  • Is the energy source socially and environmentally legitimate?
  • Align with climate commitments
  • reduce public health costs

Successfull cases

Iceland

  • 100% from geothermal and hydroelectricity
  • Energy sovereignty

Denmark

  • 55% from wind
  • Exports its technology globally
  • Built a competitive advantage

Norway

  • 90% from hydropower
  • Low-cost, stable and domestically controlled
  • Also an oil exporter

Ethiopia

  • The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is the largest project in Africa
  • Regional energy provider

First mover advantage

the structural benefit that accrues to the actor who enters a new market or technology before competitors do.

it shapes the infrastructure, the standards and the dependencies that everyone will have to follow

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

  • the largest hydropower project in Africa
  • 5,150 MW capacity
  • but 45% of the population still lacks electricity.
  • Becoming a regional energy provider

Successfull case in the global south

In conclusion ...

The transition is a strategic economic choice.
But… does this transition create new dependencies?

ACT II: The Reality

Structural limits

High upfront costs
Intermitency
Social controversy
Space monopolization
Intermitency
You cannot increase renewable output on demand
  • UK, Germany, and Denmark wind capacity from 20-26% to 14%
  • Germany : +25% increase in carbon emissions from electricity, first half of 2021
High upfront costs

Investment in wind and solar energy can be amortized over 8 to 15 years, for 25 to 30 year of free production.

Geothermal energy, initial investment = $2,000 to $8,000 per kilowatt installed

10 Kw

$20 000 - $80 000

1 Kw

$2 000 - $8 000

+ Geological surveys, exploratory drillin And still riscking of not finding anything

But initiating investement is harder than just paying for fossil fuel bills.

Renewable energy is anchored to specific geological zones. You can't have just any one anywhere.

Space monopolization

The profitability of the kilowatt-hour is much higher than that of wheat or milk.

  • Nuclear power plant exceeds 1000 MW,
  • Natural gas or coal-fired plant 500 to 800 MW,
  • Wind farm or a solar power plant a few tens of MW.

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1/3 of the Brussels-Capital Region

7,700 football pitches
55 km²

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Social controversy
2 to 4 birds killed by wind turbines per year

from a product's first conception to its final use

The global Value chains

What it really looks like

from russian GAS and oil DEPENDENCY

to Chinese manufactered RENEWABLEs DEPENDENCY

In conclusion ...

There are structural limitations inherent to renewable energies, that cannot be underestimated.
And China controls the gvc of renewables...does it have more strategic leverage?

ACT III: Who decides?

Who's the World leaders in installed renewable energy capacity ?

~1,135 GW 1st China 2nd USA 3rd Germany ~48%

~1,360 GW 1st China 2nd Brazil 3rd USA ~30%

~2,000 GW 1st China 2nd USA 3rd EU ~40%

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Wind

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Solar

Hydroelectric

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~145 GW 1st China 2nd USA 3rd Brazil ~25%

~16 GW 1st USA 2nd Indonesia 3rd Philippines ~25%

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Bioenergy

Geothermal

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Critical MINERALS by renewable energy source

WIND

SOLAR

China is the most producing country.

But to get a usable product, it has to go through China.

Europe does not lack the minerals entirely.

BATTERIES

HYDROELECTRIC

GEOTHERMAL

KNOWLEDGE

FINANCE

EU engineers leftChinese refineries

Belt and Road Initiative

PRODUCTION

SECURITY

Cheaper products than local

Export tariffs

GLOBAL SOUTH

Extraction of resources

Money does not come back

Resources leave

Recycling infrastruction

Toxic waste

continued or rising CO2 emissions

FOSSIL FUELS

Accumulation

energy overproduction thus more consumption

RENEWABLES

false sens of progress

Conclusion

FINAL ASSESSMENT

PROS

CONS

Intermittency

Reduce exposure to fossil fuels price volatility

High upfront costs

Creates industrial opportunities

Space monopolisation

Reduce gaz emissions and slow down climate change

China dependency (GVC + Power) and impact on the Global South

Allow energy independency -> Energy Security

Accumulation logic

Reduces geopolitical conflicts

No multilateral governance

LGenerally local

THREE SCENARIOS

Maintains the status quo or adds accumulation which can have serious impacts on the environment in the long term

Wait

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Keep on relying on fossil fuels...

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Buy Chinese renewables

Faster and cheaper transition, but market and standard rules are dictated by China thus creating a structural dependency

Build European

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Slower, more costly, but more multilateral governance and ours

Shift the existing market rules

Follow the existing market rules

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we'll have to transition at some point

we've reached a conclusion...

but in the meantime...

Minister of Energy

Mr. President

Thank you!

Economic Development

Renewable energy supports growth and infrastructure.

  • Renewable energy creates jobs across sectors.
  • It supports infrastructure development.
  • It improves energy access in rural areas.
  • Biomass can produce electricity, heat, and biofuels.

Knowledge

  • 1990s, EU liberalisation of energy
  • Energy = market >< strategy
  • Entry barriers decreased

Finance

Price Stability

Fossil fuels are highly sensitive to global shocks. Global crises cause sudden price fluctuations. Import dependence increases vulnerability. Energy markets can become unstable overnight. Renewables provide stable and predictable costs.

Production

  • Solar panels, wind turbines, batteries are cheaper.
  • China refines and produces the product

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Energy Independence

Renewable energy reduces dependence on imported fossil fuels.

Europe avoided 63 exajoules of fossil fuel imports over the last 5 years. China avoided 87 exajoules. To put in perspective, 63 EJ is equivalent to 1.5 billion tons of oil, it could power the world for approximately 37 days. Less imports mean stronger economic stability and reduced exposure to global price volatility.

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Security

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Cost Efficiency

Renewable energy is becoming the most cost-effective option.

Solar energy costs have declined significantly. Renewables are now cheaper than coal and gas in most markets and long-term costs are more predictable. The transition isn’t just ecological. It’s economic.