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Joel Thompson

Created on March 20, 2026

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Stage 1 - High Stationary

  • High birth and death rates → population stays low and stable
  • Typical of pre-industrial societies
Why birth rates are high:
  • Children needed for farming
  • High infant mortality
  • Little access to family planning
Why death rates are high:
  • Disease and famine
  • Poor healthcare
  • Low life expectancy

Stage 2 - Early Expanding

  • High birth rates, falling death rates → rapid population growth
  • Population becomes younger
  • Common in low-income countries
Why birth rates stay high:
  • Children needed for farming
  • High infant mortality
  • Limited access to family planning
Why death rates fall:
  • Improved healthcare
  • Better water and sanitation
  • Falling infant mortality

Stage 3 - Late expanding

  • Falling birth and death rates → slowing population growth
  • Shift towards a more urban, industrial society
  • Common in middle-income countries
Why birth rates fall:
  • Less need for children in farming
  • Urbanisation and industrialisation
  • Improved healthcare and living standards
Why death rates fall:
  • Better healthcare
  • Improved water and sanitation
  • Lower infant mortality

Stage 4 - Low stationary

  • Low birth and death rates → stable or slow population growth
  • Population begins to age
  • Common in high-income countries
Why birth rates are low:
  • Higher status of women
  • Access to family planning
  • High cost of raising children
  • Later marriages and smaller families
Why death rates are low:
  • Advanced healthcare
  • Reliable food supply
  • High living standards

Stage 5 - Declining

  • Very low birth rates below death rates → population decline
  • Strong ageing population
  • Seen in some high-income countries
Why birth rates are very low:
  • Higher status of women
  • Widespread family planning
  • High cost of raising children
  • Later marriages and smaller families
Why death rates remain low:
  • Advanced healthcare
  • Reliable food supply
  • High living standards