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Transcript

1.8

The Human and Social Upheavals of the Transition

The Effects of Climate Change are Global

The dimensions of ‘sustainable’ development:

These cascading and systemic effects do not affect everyone equally:

TERRITORIES

depending on the location

individuALs

depending on their resources, which determine their capacity for resilience

A liveable and equitable transition also has a social dimension.

The Consequences of Climate Change: over 3 billion People Already Highly Vulnerable

due to their geographical exposure

SEA LEVEL RISE

3 billion people ARE already highly vulnerable

People living in areas considered vulnerable:

Jakarta soon to be under water

  • Coastal areas and islands
  • Mountain regions
  • Polar regions, etc.

TEMPERATURES

Dying from heat, a risk for 30% of the world's population

The Consequences of Climate Change: over 3 billion People Already Highly Vulnerable

Due to their socio-economic vulnerability

Least developed countries and regions of the world with low HDI: - Environmental constraints, - Social constraints, - Economic constraints, - Health constraints

Image

They impact their living conditions.

Developed countries: Individuals, businesses and regions are extremely sensitive to climate change.

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Resources

Socio-spatial Disparities and Inequalities in the face of Climate Change

Accumulation of risks for poor populations

Less capacity to act in their living environment (choices are constrained by necessity).

  • Steep areas (flooding, mudslides, landslides)
  • Areas prone to flooding (coastlines, deltas, etc.)
  • Hazardous activities nearby (industrial and agricultural sites that may pose a risk to the environment and local residents)

Fragile areas have few amenities and are more exposed risks:

Migration Dynamics

climate refugees

Breakdown of internal displacement between 2008 and 2018

Displacement related to conflict or violence

25%

Displacement due to disasters: extreme weather events resulting from the effects of climate change, geophysical activity

75%

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Resources

Migration Dynamics

climate refugees

Forecasts for 2050 indicate that the number of people displaced due to climate change could reach

The majority of displaced populations originate from Asia.

between 200 and 250 million.

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Resources

Climate Change is a Matter of Social Justice

Global inequalities in responsibility and impacts of climate change

The impacts are more severe for vulnerable populations → who have limited means to adapt to the consequences of climate change

responsabilitY

Responsabilité

The richest 1% generate as much carbon emissions as the poorest two-thirds of humanity.

ImpactS

Climate inequalities- OXFAM 2023

climate CHANGE

Climate Change is a Matter of Social Justice

Creation of a Loss and Damage Fund - COP 28, 2023

climate justice

Losses and Damages Fund

It suggests that responsibility for combating climate change should be shared among those who contribute most to the problem, while addressing the systemic, socio-ecological and intergenerational inequalities it causes.

Financial assistance to ‘particularly vulnerable’ countries to help them cope with the impacts of climate change.

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Resources

The environment: ‘what surrounds us’, i.e. the places and settings in which societies live. Humans are part of this ecosystem, as a species that interacts with others and shapes and transforms its habitat. The transformation of ecosystems through human activities turns them into complex socio-ecological systems with multiple interactions.

Resources

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Human Development Index (HDI) by Country 2026- World Population Review

Resources

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Disaster displacement, a global review 2008-2018- GRID

Losses and Damages FundCOP 28, 2023

The fund will be financed mainly by voluntary contributions (grants), but also by private donations or loans.

The allocation criteria reduce the possibility for certain states to benefit from it, and the legal concepts on which the management of this fund is based are not all defined.

Number of days exceeding the threshold for potentially deadly weather conditions in 2100, in a scenario with a sharp reduction in greenhouse gas emissions (left) and in a scenario where emissions continue at the current rate (right).

Nature Climate Change

environmental

Viable

liveable

sustainable

Social

economic

Equitable

jakarta

10 M

Population

of the city below sea level

40%

subsidence of the city in 30 years

4m

of the city submerged in 2050

95%

Moving the capital to another island merely shifts the problem, as the local population will remain there.

Greater Jakarta Floods: A Crisis of Urban Planning and Climate Vulnerability- Broadsheet Asia

Why Jakarta Is Sinking Faster Than Any Other City in the World- Seasia

Resources

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Climate disasters displaced 250 million people in past 10 years- the Guardian

Global trend 2024 report- UN refugee agency (UNHCR)

Resources

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COP28 Summit Approves $475 Million Loss and Damage Fund- CleanTech Times

WORLD INEQUALITY REPORT 2022- World Inequality Lab