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Paul Neiffer's Estimates

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Created on December 10, 2025

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Paul Neiffer's Estimates

USDA to Announce Official Payment Rates the Week of Dec. 22

Projected Crop Prices

Dec-24 vs. Dec-25 and % Change

-2.90%
10.70%
2.40%
7.30%
6.4%
27.6%

Projected Payments

2025 ECAP

High End

2026 FBA Estimates

Low End

90% Level Estimates*

Per Acre

*90% level estimates were added since there are more corn acres this year and that increase may end up tweaking overall payments down a bit. Final payments for most crops are expected to fall between the two estimates. For example, the final corn payment may range from approximately $42–43 on the low end to $48–49 on the high end, with similar ranges applying to the other crops.