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Valuation - Guiding Principles

Donna Westwood

Created on October 1, 2025

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Transcript

Selecting a Reference Product:

Selecting a Proxy Category:

Incrementality:

Category Growth Rate (CAGR):

Attainable Share:

Radical Collaboration:

Select each numbered tab to find out more

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Selecting a Reference Product:

Choose a product in the same or similar Category, Level of Brand Awareness and/or Demand Space, ideally with at least 3 yrs of stable consumer data, sales data and comparable distribution.

Selecting a Proxy Category:

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When a category doesn’t exist in your country, use a proxy country with this existing category, with a similar in population size, GDP income per capita, and AB market maturity OR choose other adjacent category/ies and relevant price segments in your country.

Incrementality:

Estimate what share of sales is truly new to the market, not just replacing existing products (cannibalization).You can figure this out by looking at past data of similar innovation launches.

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Category Growth Rate (CAGR):

Use external market data (e.g. Global Data or IWSR) and internal insights to estimate the category's future growth.

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Attainable Share:

Estimate based on current market share, distribution strength, and competitive intensity (incl. competition’s ability to copy/follow this innovation). Where possible, overlay estimated brand power.

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Radical Collaboration:

Work with trade marketing, sales, and finance teams to ensure alignment on key inputs like #Outlets and sourcing volume.

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