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Crossroads Essay

CSI

Created on June 6, 2024

The Future of AI

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The Future of AI

Crossroads essay
What we know about AI and the impact itwill have on the German media and communications market in the next 10 years.

Just a short introduction to our interactive essay

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Privacy policy

The Future of AI

We have identified three relevant AI trends. Let's take a look at the history and thefuture course of their development.
Crossroads essay

Emotion AI

Generative AI

Conversational AI

Into thenext 10 years

The Future of AI

We see five different phases of development for the media and communications market over the next ten years. Take a closer look.
Crossroads essay

Phase ofEthical Liberalization

Phase of Trust & Transparency

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Phase ofImplementation

Phase ofAdvanced Integration

Phase of Maturity & Everyday Integration

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Bet on the future

Crossroads essay
Now it's your turn! Do you agree with our predictions or do you have a completely different view of the next 10 years? Let us know!
We are giving away 10 future games among all participants

Join us in betting on the future! Will we be right? Only our future selves know the answers.

Try to win this unique card game that revolves around foresight and strategic thinking. But be careful: other trendscouts are betting too!

Send us your e-mail address if you would like to take part.

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Thank you for your participation &Stay curious!

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"If regulation acts as a brake on innovation, it is not well done."

Alois Krtil, CEO, ARIC2024

"We will have more human interactions because technology can automate the most dehumanising things."

Gianluca Mauro, Founder, AI Academy2024

Forecasts 2031 – 2032

AI undergoes ethical self-regulation, liberalizes regulations, and finds innovative applications in personal and professional life.

Emotion AI

Conversational AI

AI general

"There have always been delays between a well-functioning technology and its implementation by companies."

Gianluca Mauro, Founder, AI Academy

Forecasts 2025 – 2026

AI technologies gain widespread recognition and competitive edge, become indistinguishable from humans in digital interactions, and personalize content while facing regulatory challenges.

Emotion AI

Conversational AI

Generative AI

Emotion AI

Top Player in the field of Emotion AI
Historical events
Development curves 2034

70%

1990s: Emotional intelligence receives attention (psychologists J. D. Mayer & P. Salovey) 1996: Tamagotchi as a mass phenomenon establishes emotional intelligence in society 2012: Foundation of Emotient (software for facial recognition & analysis of emotions) 2016: Microsoft publishes an Emotion API 2020: High download rates and product launches during the COVID-19 pandemic lead to market growth for mental health apps 2022: Tawny receives innovation award for Emotion Analytics Platform

0%

2034

2024

Development maturityDegree of implementationConsumer adoption rate

Forecasts 2029 – 2030

AI sees increased competition and innovation, integrates with robotics for human-like interactions, surpasses human emotional capabilities, and becomes widely trusted.

Emotion AI

Conversational AI

Generative AI

"The development and adaptation of innovation is erratic, not linear. We will become faster and faster at accepting leaps in development and adapting new technologies."

Alois Krtil, CEO, ARIC2024

"Emotions are an indispensable part of human behaviour and our basic needs. They cannot simply be ignored in the digital environment."

Regina BurgmayrProject and Customer Success Manager, Tawny.AI

Forecasts 2033 – 2034

AI reaches a productivity plateau, becomes a daily tool, matures in handling complex issues, and standardizes in market research and autonomous technology.

Emotion AI

Conversational AI

Generative AI

Forecasts 2027 – 2028

AI automates various industries, breaks language barriers, gathers significant insights, and faces rising ethical discussions, fostering increased trust and transparency.

Emotion AI

Conversational AI

Generative AI

Conversational AI

Top Player in the field of Conversational AI
Development curves 2034
Historical events

100%

1966: Eliza, first demonstration of a virtual psychotherapist 2006: IBM Watson wins Jeopardy 2011: Introduction of Siri (iPhone) marks a significant milestone 2014: Virtual voice assistant Alexa is built into Amazon's intelligent voice system Echo 2017: AI passes the Turing test 2022: OpenAI publishes ChatGPT, the first natural-looking human-machine interaction

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2034

Development maturityDegree of implementationConsumer adoption rate

Generative AI

Top Player in the field of Generative AI
Development curves 2034
Historical events

100%

2017: Paper "Attention is all you need" (Google) ushers in the era of generative AI 2022: Publication of various open and closed source models by major players 2023: High media and political attention around ChatGPT and generative AI 2023: ChatGPT reaches 100 million users within two months 2024: Launch of several new models like Sora (OpenAI, video), Suno (Suno, music) etc.

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Development maturityDegree of implementationConsumer adoption rate