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Presentation: Symposium on Human Migration

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Transcript

Uiversity Logo

Clemente QuinonesConference on the AmericasFeb. 17-18, 2023

explaining Central a. migration to the USA

03. T. framework

06. Conclusion

Objectives

05. Results

02. Hypothesis

04. Methods

01. Purpose

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info

Purpose

Extent to which the traditional migration theories explain the Central American migration to the USA.

INFO

Contrary to conventional wisdom that most Central American Migrants head north for economic reasons, we argue that social networks weight more than...

Hypothesis

Caravan

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10

Delinquency-36, Unemployment-11, corruption-10, National Economy-10, and violence-9

QUESTIONS TAPPING...

Binary Logistic RegressionD.V. Have you Thought about Emigrating?I.V.: Series of variables

SUBJECTIVE DATA: LAPOP: 4704 CASES

Methodology

Hypothesis

Delinquency-36, Unemployment-11, corruption-10, National Economy-10, and violence-9

RESULTS

ln [p / (1-p)] = a + b1X1 + b2X2 +…+bkXkp / (1-p) = е (a + b1X1 + b2X2 +…+bkXk) By solving for the p value, we have:p = е (a + b1X1 + b2X2 +…+bkXk) /1+е (b + b1X1 + 2X2 +…+bkXk) = = 1/1+ [-a+𝛽1𝑋1+𝛽2𝑋2+….𝛽k𝑋k)]

Methodology

Significant

Family EconomyDelincuencia (two variables)Networks.

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Conclusion