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Lithium in the energy transition

IFPEN

Created on February 10, 2021

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Transcript

Where is lithium found?

#4

Who produces it?

lithium

Market concentration: what do the figures tell us?

What risks is facing lithium supply ?

Metals in the energy transition

Listen to the podcast

Where is lithium found ?

Who produces it ?

2,5 %

Canada

LITHIUM

2,5 %

Canada

3,6 %

United States

7,1 %

China

China

17 %

2,3 %

Brazil

World reserves

1,5 %

Zimbabwe

1 %

Zimbabwe

7,5 %

Argentina

9 %

Argentina

48,7 %

Australia

22,3 %

Austraiia

Main producing countries

21,9 %

Chili

43,7 %

Chile

Calculation based on: Shedd, K.B., (2021), “Mineral Commodity Summaries”, U.S. Geological Survey.

Market concentration: what do the figures tell us?

The Herfindahl-Hirschmann index (HHI) is a measure of the market concentration

1500 < HHI < 2500

3 203

HHI index - Lithium production

moderately concentrated market

HHI index - Lithium reserves

2 560

HHI index - Oil production

781

HHI > 2500

highly concentrated market

Calculation based on: Shedd, K.B., (2021), “Mineral Commodity Summaries”, U.S. Geological Survey.

Highly concentrated market. The production has recently become more concentrated than the reserves

Les métaux dans la transition énergétique

What risks for 2050?

No geological risks

For 2050

Only 19 % to 20 % of lithium resources (identified in 2020) extracted in a 4°C scenario

29 to 32 % extracted in a more ambitious 2°C climate scenario

No geological pressure on the resources is to be feared

What risk to anticipate?

Geostrategic: reserves and production are increasingly concentrated geographically, with the Lithium Triangle concentrating 58% of resources and 53% of reserves, and Australia and Latin America 80% of mining extraction

Economic: - prices are not transparent, which impacts the production and development of mining projects ; - 5 global players control the majority of mining production and have a strong influence on the value chain, with China in particular exerting a strong influence on processing and refining activities

Environmental: lithium production is especially CO -intensive and water-consuming. In addition, the exploitation of underground reservoirs monopolizes the land and evaporation basins disfigure the landscapes in the Andean salt flats

Listen to the podcast

Metals in the energy transition

More info

7 minutes

Episode 4lithium

Podcast

Metals in the energy transition