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Rare earths in the energy transition

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Created on December 23, 2020

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Transcript

Where are rare earths found ?

#3

Who produces them ?

Rare eaRths

Market concentration: what do the figures tell us?

What risks is facing rare earths supply ?

Metals in the energy transition

Listen to the podcast

Where are rare earths found ?

Who produces them ?

RARE EARTHS

1,3 %

Russia

10,4 %

Russia

12,2 %

United-States

1,2 %

United-States

38 %

China

China

62 %

Myanmar 10,3 %

6 %

India

1,4 %

India

19 %

Vietnam

19 %

Brazil

World reserves

0,9 %

Madagascar

2,8 %

Australia

9,9 %

Australia

Main producing countries

Calculation based on: Shedd, K.B., (2020), “Mineral Commodity Summaries”, U.S. Geological Survey.

Market concentration: what do the figures tell us?

The HerfindahlHirschmann index (HHI) is a measure of the market concentration

1500 < HHI < 2500

4 199

HHI index - Rare earths production

moderately concentrated market

HHI index - Rare earths reserves

2 317

HHI index - Oil production

781

HHI > 2500

highly concentrated market

Calculation based on: Shedd, K.B., (2020), “Mineral Commodity Summaries”, U.S. Geological Survey.

Highly concentrated market for the production, moderately concentrated for the reserves

Les métaux dans la transition énergétique

What risks for 2050?

No geological risks

For 2050

Only 1,6 % of rare earths ressources (observed in 2017) consumed in a 4°C scenario

Only 3,8 % of rare earths ressources (2017) consumed in a more ambitious 2°C climate scenario

Considering the rare earth element group as a whole, no geological pressure on the resources is to be feared

What risks to anticipate ?

Geostrategic: China dominates the entire value chain, from mineral production to the separation of rare earths and the production of intermediate products;

Economic: the global market for rare earths depends on China's strategy for consumption, production and market exports;

Environnmental: the extraction and separation of rare earths requires vast quantities of water. China's environmental challenges and the resulting tightening of regulations could also restrict supplies by 2050.

Employed for permanent magnets in wind turbines, but little consumed by solar and photovoltaic industries, rare earths demand should be partially driven by low-carbon technologies

LISTEN to The podcast

Metals in the energy transition

More info

7 minutes

Episode 3Rare earths

Podcast (in french)

Metals in the energy transition